Investments

Negative Interest Rates Around the Globe

By Jason Newcomer

May 9, 2019

We’re all used to the concept of earning interest on our money at the bank. We deposit money into a savings account, the bank pays us a nominal interest rate, and meanwhile, our principle (the initial deposit) is safe. Oddly enough, however, negative interest rates exist and are in effect in the world today.

Cue Twilight Zone music.

“There is a fifth dimension, beyond that which is known to man. It is a dimension as vast as space and as timeless as infinity. It is in the middle ground between light and shadow, between science and superstition, and it lies between the pit of man’s fears and the summit of his knowledge. This is the dimension of imagination. It is an area which we call the Twilight Zone negative interest rates.” – Rod Sterling

Negative Interest Rates Around the Globe

Ok, so negative interest rates aren’t science fiction. Instead of receiving interest for loaning your money to a bank, you effectively pay them to hold your money. We aren’t at that point here in the U.S., but you can see examples of this in other parts of the world. According to Deutsche Bank, for instance, there’s about $10 trillion in government bonds worldwide with negative yields.

Negative Interest Rates - Debt with Yield Below Zero

Source: https://www.wsj.com/articles/negative-yields-deepen-along-with-europes-problems-11556535601

For example, in Japan…

Negative Interest Rates - Japan 10 Year Gov Bond Rate

Source: ycharts.com

Also, in Germany…
Negative Interest Rates - Germany 10 Year Gov Bond Rate

Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/GDBR10:IND

And, in Switzerland…

Negative Interest Rates - Swtizerland 10 Year Gov Bond Rate

Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/GSWISS10:IND

What About the United States?

Central banks set monetary policy. In the US, the Federal Reserve sets a target for the fed funds rate, which can influence longer-term rates (such as corporate bond rates, savings account rates, even mortgage rates). When the economy slows down, the Fed might lower rates to try to increase economic activity. Remember after the Great Recession, how mortgage rates were falling, and you could get 0% financing on cars? That was, in part, because this was happening at the Federal Reserve…

Negative Interest Rates - Target Federal Funds Rate Lower Limit

Source: ycharts.com

In December 2008, the Federal Reserve set the fed funds rate target at 0%. However, in theory, at least, this was not the lowest they could have gone. There is no law saying the fed funds rate can’t be negative.

While negative interest rates at home are a long way off, it’s at least a possibility that if things were to ever get bad enough in our economy, we could see negative interest rates, and look back fondly on the days where we could get 2% per year in our savings accounts.

if you have concerns about interest rates and the U.S. economy, you might check out our last Monthly Economic Update. Dean discusses the current interest rate climate as well as the potential effects on the economy here in the U.S. As financial planners specializing in retirement, we’re also available to sit down with you and discuss how things could impact your financial plan and plans to retire. If you would like a review of your financial plan, give us a call at 913.393.1000 or fill out the form below.

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Investment advisory services offered through Barber Financial Group, Inc., an SEC Registered Investment Adviser.

The views expressed represent the opinion of Barber Financial Group an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Information provided is for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute investment, tax, or legal advice. Barber Financial Group does not accept any liability for the use of the information discussed. Consult with a qualified financial, legal, or tax professional prior to taking any action.